Global Risk Sentry — Geopolitical & Political Risk Advisory

Who we advise

Built for the people who allocate capital and carry the risk.

Corporations

Board-ready judgment on how political and geopolitical shifts across the globe bear on strategy, operations, and investment decisions.

Venture Capital

Clear reads on geopolitical exposure and the security of technology, energy, critical minerals, and supply chains shaping frontier portfolios.

Private Equity

Geopolitical and political-risk diligence — including on foreign investment into the U.S. — that stands up to an investment committee.

Family Offices

Discreet, senior judgment on cross-border political risk and concentrated exposures across regions and generations.

Non-Profits

Grounded geopolitical guidance for foundations and mission-driven organizations navigating volatile regions and shifting political terrain.

Services

Judgments and analysis that reflect how decisions actually get made.

A bespoke practice, not an assembly line. Every engagement is led personally by a managing principal.

SIGNATURE

The AI Integrity Check

Your team is already using AI to produce geopolitical analysis — and it's a useful starting point. But AI-generated analysis misses context, overstates confidence, or gets the nuance wrong in ways that matter. We serve as the senior human authority who validates AI-generated analysis for factual accuracy and analytical soundness before it drives a decision.

Fact-checked · Pressure-tested · Decision-ready

Retained Advisory

A standing relationship: rapid reads on breaking events, tailored briefings, and direct access to senior judgment when it matters most.

Executive & Board Briefings

Live, tailored, confidential briefings for leadership teams, investment committees, and boards. High signal, decision-oriented.

Risk Assessments & Reports

Bespoke deep-dives on a country, region, sector, or scenario — structured and accelerated by our proprietary evaluation tool.

CFIUS & Investment Risk

Geopolitical and political-risk diligence for foreign parties investing into the U.S. — CFIUS exposure and the broader investment-climate risks that shape a deal.

Scenario Planning

Facilitated war-gaming and tabletop exercises that stress-test your strategy or portfolio against defined scenarios and produce concrete decision triggers.

Track 1.5 & Track II Engagement

Design and facilitation of back-channel and unofficial dialogues — convening the right parties, framing sensitive conversations, and building the quiet channels where official diplomacy needs room to work.

Crisis Response

When something breaks — a coup, a sanctions announcement, an escalation — a plain-language read within hours on what it means for you.

Speaking & Events

Keynotes, moderated sessions, and private briefings on the geopolitical landscape for conferences, offsites, and client events. View speaker bio →

The approach

Senior judgment first. Technology in service of it.

Established firms can be expensive and slow to reach, while off-the-shelf AI moves fast but misses what matters. Our practice is built to sit between the two: senior-led and always responsive, technology enabled. We never confuse the tool for the judgment.

A direct line to the principal.

You work with, and hear directly from, the person making the assessment — an open, responsive line of communication rather than a relationship managed through intermediaries.
Proprietary risk-evaluation technology.

A purpose-built proprietary tool structures and accelerates the analysis — but the judgments are predicated on the experience and expertise of our principals.
Discretion as a default.

No name-dropping, no publicity, no trading on who we work for. In this business, discretion isn't a limitation — it's the entire point, and the reason clients trust us with what they won't say elsewhere.

The principal

Jonathan Panikoff

Jonathan Panikoff advises senior leaders and investors at the intersection of national security and global markets. Today he leads programs on Middle East and South Asia political, leadership, and security issues — spanning regional conflicts, Iran, China's role in the region, and Europe–Gulf relations — and works on the geoeconomics of foreign investment.

He served as the U.S. deputy national intelligence officer for the Near East at the National Intelligence Council, overseeing the intelligence community's assessments on the region and briefing the most senior policymakers, including the President. His final government assignment was as director of the intelligence community's Investment Security Group, leading its work on foreign investment into the United States, including CFIUS and Team Telecom.

The practice is deliberately small, so that every client gets the one thing that cannot be automated: accountable senior judgment from someone who has operated where the stakes were highest.

Critical insight on the risks that move capital and markets.